Survey methods interactive: More People ≠ Better Data
Opt-in surveys missed a government benchmark by 12 points. Probability-based sampling came within 3. An interactive explainer from Lumaris Research.
Explore the interactive →Every Lumaris survey runs on the Minnesota Community Survey panel, the state's only publicly available probability-based panel.
Here is how we recruit the panel, field surveys, and disclose our methods.
Opt-in surveys missed a government benchmark by 12 points. Probability-based sampling came within 3. An interactive explainer from Lumaris Research.
Explore the interactive →Five questions that separate polls you can trust from polls you can't.
Read more →How mail-based recruitment defends the panel against bots and AI-generated answers.
Read more →Minnesota Community Surveys rely on a probability-based online panel of 2,500+ verified residents, recruited and maintained to represent the state.
We mail invitations to a random sample of Minnesota addresses drawn from a U.S. Postal Service file that reaches more than 90% of U.S. households. No one can sign themselves up.
Census block groups where many Black, Latino, and Asian Minnesotans live get extra invitations, and rural Minnesota stays strongly represented.
Mail delivery proves panelists live at real Minnesota addresses. Bots, duplicate sign-ups, and AI-generated answers have a much harder time getting in.
Panel invitations go out in English, Spanish, Somali, and Hmong; regular surveys are fielded in English and Spanish. This reaches Minnesotans a single-language survey would miss.
Results are weighted to match Minnesota's population on age, sex, race and ethnicity, education, and region. The numbers reflect the state, not just who answered.
In an independent 2023 Pew Research Center benchmark, opt-in panels averaged more than twice the error of probability-based panels. Probability panels also measure smaller groups, such as young adults and Hispanics, more reliably.
Included with every project, the Quality Scorecard is a one-page summary you can share with stakeholders, funders, or the public. It covers who responded, how responses were screened, how well the sample reflects the population, and how precise the results are.
Lumaris Research operates Minnesota's only publicly available probability-based survey panel.
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